Gold prices continue to rise for the second consecutive day as renewed tensions between the US and Iran increase demand for safe-haven assets.
Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut keep the US dollar bulls on the back foot, which also supports the appeal of the non-yielding yellow metal.
Market participants are now anticipating the US ADP report and ISM Services PMI to seize short-term trading opportunities.
Gold maintains its gains amid a resurgence in safe-haven demand and dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Gold (XAU/USD) holds onto significant intraday gains as it approaches the European trading session, currently priced just above the $5,050 mark, near the weekly high reached earlier this Wednesday. Concerns regarding escalating tensions between the US and Iran have re-emerged following reports that the US downed an Iranian drone in the Arabian Sea. This situation compels investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets, which is perceived as supporting the precious metal for the second day in a row.
The substantial upward movement is further bolstered by the anticipation of lower US interest rates, which restrain the recent recovery of the US Dollar (USD) from a four-year low and serve as an additional factor favoring the non-yielding Gold. With this latest increase, the XAU/USD pair has now rebounded over $650 from the $4,400 range, which was nearly a four-week low reached on Monday. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US ADP report concerning private-sector employment and the US ISM Services PMI for new trading momentum.
A spokesperson for US Central Command announced on Monday that a US Navy fighter jet intercepted and shot down an Iranian drone in self-defense as it approached the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea. This incident diminishes the optimism surrounding the US-Iran nuclear discussions scheduled for this Friday and contributes to a significant increase in the price of safe-haven Gold, marking its largest daily gain since November 2008.
The nomination of Kevin Warsh by US President Donald Trump for the position of Federal Reserve chair has sparked speculation that the central bank may adopt a less dovish stance than previously anticipated. Nevertheless, traders continue to factor in the likelihood of two additional rate cuts by the Fed this year, which places US Dollar bulls in a defensive position and supports the non-yielding bullion for the second consecutive day.
In related news, Fed Governor Stephen Miran stated on Tuesday that underlying inflation is not a concern and that the US central bank should consider reducing rates by approximately one percentage point this year. Additionally, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin remarked that while inflation remains above the target, further improvements are anticipated, and the economy continues to show remarkable resilience.
On Tuesday, Trump enacted a spending bill that reinstates funding for defense, healthcare, labor, education, housing, and other agencies, while also temporarily extending funding for the Department of Homeland Security until February 13. This action effectively concludes a partial US government shutdown and provides lawmakers with the opportunity to negotiate potential restrictions on his immigration policies.
The highly anticipated US Nonfarm Payrolls report for January will not be published this Friday. However, the release of the US ADP report on private-sector employment on Wednesday is expected to provide new insights into the labor market's health. Furthermore, the US ISM Services PMI may impact USD demand and offer some momentum to the XAU/USD pair.